Cypher Pattern Trading Strategy What Is It? Backtest and Trading Example

Here, we have an almost perfect AB retracement of 61.4%, followed by a pinpoint CD retracement to the 78.6% level. Note that the tool shows the pullback as 73.7%, but we know by applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to X and C that it actually hit the expected level. Even if you weren’t using the Fibonacci retracement tool, you could still consider the hammer and following bullish engulfing candle signs of a reversal and enter with a market order. For example, if AB retraces XA by 63% and the rest of the pattern looks correct, you can still consider trading. Generally speaking, CD often moves slightly beyond the 78.6% area before reversing but can sometimes stop just short of the actual point, so don’t be discouraged if the ratios aren’t perfect.

Backtesting results have continuously proven the cypher pattern forex is a very dependable harmonic pattern. The pattern was discovered by Darren Oglesbee and is known as a relatively advanced pattern formation. In structure, the Cypher pattern is similar to the butterfly harmonic pattern; however, the Cypher is not a very common chart pattern due to its unique Fibonacci ratios. From a risk management point of view, the Cypher pattern may be the most exciting harmonic pattern. Our backtesting results have continuously proven the cypher pattern forex is a very reliable harmonic pattern. It’s not a mystery that geometric patterns are in the Forex price chart.

The Cypher pattern is one of the most advanced harmonic structures. However, this pattern has a high probability of success and offers a solid risk to reward ratio. Traders have two options when it comes to entering a Cypher pattern. They can either set a limit order at the 78.6% level or use a market order after confirming that the price is beginning to reverse. The Cypher pattern is identified by observing three price swings that resemble the pattern. Traders use the Cypher pattern tool or Fibonacci retracement and extension tools to trace and label price swings, projecting the D (Potential Reversal Zone) point.

Supply and demand zones indicate where the big players are most likely going to buy or sell to cause a reversal. By using them to trade the Cypher, we can accurualty predict where price will reverse once it breaches the 78.6% level. The “B” rule states that point B CANNOT breach the 78.6% retracement of move X – C. If price breaches this ratio the pattern becomes invalid and suggests a different structure is forming. To identify bearish Cyphers, follow the same steps above, but expect the pattern to form inverted, like below.

Cypher

Discovered by Darren Oglesbee, the Cypher formation is a five-point harmonic pattern with the XABCD labeling, just like other Gartley-discovered patterns. Normally, trading the Cypher is a case of waiting for swing C – D to reach the 78.6% level and then seeing if the right price action forms – pin bars, engulfing candles, etc. Sharing this idea as a reference to my primary HTF view – the chart was going to be too messy otherwise. I don’t have much experience in trading harmonics at all, but often I keep an eye on them as they respect fibs levels I trade a lot. Also, maybe just a personal observation, but when i find it more difficult to trade, and it takes ages for the price to move…

  • It falls under the category of “harmonic patterns,” which use Fibonacci levels to define precise turning points.
  • If you’re not a fan of reversal strategy, and you prefer a trend following strategy, follow the MACD trend following strategy-simple to learn another strategy.
  • It has particular Fibonacci measurements for every point within its structure.
  • Trading the financial market, such as crypto, stock, indices, and the future market requires skills, patience, and psychology to stay ahead of the game.
  • The basic leg is the XA leg, which rallies higher from the beginning point at X.

The Cypher pattern, a distinctive configuration in technical analysis, finds significant application in the Forex market due to its precise Fibonacci-based structure. In Forex trading, where currencies are traded in pairs, the pattern’s ability to identify potential reversals is highly valued. Also, it is a good idea to gather more information about various currency pairs. Like other harmonic patterns, some pros and cons come with this trading strategy. The pros that come with the usage of the cypher pattern are that it highly accurate, entry, exits, take profit, and stop losses are well defined. Most investors vouch for the relatability of a Cypher patterns trading strategy.

Identifying the Cypher Pattern

Among these, the Cypher pattern has gained prominence for its unique structure and predictive capabilities. Several conditions must be met for the cypher harmonic pattern to be fulfilled, just like other harmonic patterns. Here are the conditions that meet the Fibonacci ratios you need to consider, as discussed above. From a technical aspect, it’s an advanced pattern formation, but it’s frequently connected with harmonic patterns. The next moment is to locate the invalidation point that happens when the price goes over point X will be the nullification level in case of a bearish pattern. The price under point X will be an invalidation level in case of a bullish cypher pattern.

What Is the Cypher Chart Pattern?

For a bearish pattern, place the stop-loss at least 10 pips higher than the high of X. That’s the only logical place to hide your stop-loss, because any break below will automatically invalidate the trade. Backtesting results have continuously proven the cypher pattern forex is a very dependable harmonic pattern. Swing trading and the Cypher pattern are both popular concepts in the world of technical trading, and they intersect in several meaningful ways. Support and resistance levels and the Cypher pattern share a common foundation in technical analysis, both being tools to identify potential price turnarounds.

The Cypher has a exceptionally high win rate, down to the fact that it rarely forms and reveals the big players want price to reverse. Harmonics don’t play a huge role in my trading, but I still keep my eye out for a few select patterns that can get my into high probability reversal or continuation trades. HowToTrade.com takes no responsibility for loss cypher patterns incurred as a result of the content provided inside our Trading Academy. By signing up as a member you acknowledge that we are not providing financial advice and that you are making the decision on the trades you place in the markets. We have no knowledge of the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade.

Timing is Everything: When to Enter a Forex Trade for Maximum Profit

The cypher harmonic pattern is mostly found in a trending market phase and appears at the end of the phase, indicating a potential reversal in the asset price. The bullish cypher patterns rules identify the crucial points X, C, and D. In the case of the bullish cypher pattern, X needs to be the pattern low while the high gets represented by the C. We can examine the aspects of the bullish variation of the Cypher pattern. The Cypher Pattern is a type of Harmonic Pattern that relies on the power of Fibonacci ratios and market geometry to predict potential reversals.

Strategy 1 – Bearish Divergence With Bearish Cypher Pattern

Today, I’m going to teach another one of my favourite harmonic pattern setups. Ok, this may be a bit much, but I’m bored and there are too many kids upstairs…… The two Cypher patterns, the 2nd smaller one is set to the exact same parameters (measurements) as the first one.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience. If the shadow of the candlestick appears inordinately large, then it will be better to use the candle close for measuring. On the other hand, if the shadow is of standard size, it’s better to use it in the measuring process.

Since the Cypher pattern is based on Fibonacci levels, it is helpful to draw Fibonacci retracement levels from the lowest to the highest point of the previous trend on a higher time frame. It will help you better visualize the asset’s past performance. We need to establish the most logical place for our take profit level in the Cypher patterns trading strategy. Our team at Trading Strategy Guides is building a step-by-step guide on Harmonic trading patterns. Read the article here, Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy- Easy Step By Step Guide.

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